BALTIMORE — The largest spread of Week 4 arrives at M&T Bank Stadium as the winless Tennessee Titans visit the Baltimore Ravens.
Kickoff is 1 p.m. ET on CBS. The Ravens are home favorites around 11.5 points with a total near 42–42.5.
Baltimore is coming off a dramatic last-second win over Dallas in Rio. Tennessee is 0-3 and still searching for answers on offense.
Why the Ravens Are Heavy Favorites
Lamar Jackson continues to play at an elite level. Derrick Henry leads the league in rushing touchdowns and faces his former team for the first time. The Ravens offense ranks among the most balanced and efficient units in the NFL.
Tennessee has scored just four touchdowns all season and has not reached 20 points in any game. Cam Ward is still adjusting as a young quarterback, and the Titans’ offensive line has struggled to create consistent running lanes.
Home favorites of this size usually win, but covering double-digits often depends on whether the favorite continues to push late or eases off the gas.
Key Storylines
Derrick Henry against his old team is the emotional centerpiece. Henry has six rushing touchdowns and remains a force between the tackles. The Titans defense has shown improvement in recent weeks but faces one of the most physical offenses in the league.
The total sits low because Tennessee’s offense has been one of the least productive in the NFL. Baltimore should control the game script early and force the Titans into obvious passing situations.
Betting Angle
The market has settled near Ravens -11.5. Public money is on Baltimore. Double-digit home favorites often fail to cover if they rest starters late, but the Ravens’ motivation and Tennessee’s offensive limitations make a cover realistic.
My lean: Ravens -11.5 and the under. Expect Baltimore to dominate possession and limit Tennessee’s scoring opportunities.
Factors That Will Decide the Game
- Can Derrick Henry dominate against his former team?
- Does Lamar Jackson continue his efficient play and create big plays with his legs?
- Will the Titans offense find any rhythm on the road against a physical Ravens defense?
- How aggressive is Baltimore late if the game is already decided?
This has the look of a statement win for the Ravens at home.
Final Prediction
Expect Baltimore to control the line of scrimmage and pull away in the second half. Tennessee struggles to sustain drives and falls short of covering the large number.
Prediction: Ravens 27, Titans 13
Best bet: Ravens -11.5 / Under 42.5.
Frequently Asked Questions
What time is Titans vs Ravens?
1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 4, 2026, at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The game is on CBS.
What are the current odds?
Ravens are favored by roughly 11.5 points. The total is near 42–42.5. Always check a licensed sportsbook for the latest numbers.
Why are the Ravens such big favorites?
Baltimore is coming off a dramatic win and features one of the most balanced offenses in the league. Tennessee is 0-3 and has scored just four touchdowns all season.
Is Derrick Henry playing against his former team?
Yes. Henry leads the league in rushing touchdowns and faces the Titans for the first time since leaving Tennessee.
Can the Titans cover the spread?
It is possible if Baltimore eases off late, but Tennessee’s offensive limitations make covering a double-digit number difficult.
Always bet responsibly. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute gambling advice.